China’s response to Pelosi visit a sign of future intentions

The free world must ask itself to what extent it wants to depend on a China dominated by a party with dictatorial policies and a total lack of democracy

A Taiwanese Air Force F16V fighter jet takes part in night drill from the Hualien Airbase in Taiwan’s southeastern Hualien county on Wednesday, Aug. 17, 2022. Experts say a lot can be gleaned from what China has done, and not done, in the large-scale military exercises it held in response to U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan, followed by Taiwan’s own drills and Beijing announcing more maneuvers planned. (AP Photo/Johnson Lai, File)

BANGKOK (AP) — China’s response to U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan was anything but subtle — dispatching warships and military aircraft to all sides of the self-governing island democracy, and firing ballistic missiles into the waters nearby.

The dust has still not settled, with Taiwan this week conducting drills of its own and Beijing announcing it has more maneuvers planned, but experts say a lot can already be gleaned from what China has done, and has not done, so far. China will also be drawing lessons on its own military capabilities from the exercises, which more closely resembled what an actual strike on the island claimed by Beijing as its own territory would look like, and from the American and Taiwanese response.

During the nearly weeklong maneuvers that followed Pelosi’s early August visit, China sailed ships and flew aircraft regularly across the median line in the Taiwan Strait, claiming the de facto boundary did not exist, fired missiles over Taiwan itself, and challenged established norms by firing missiles into Japan’s exclusive economic zone.

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“I think we are in for a risky period of testing boundaries and finding out who can achieve escalatory dominance across the diplomatic, military and economic domains,” said David Chen, an analyst with CENTRA Technology, a U.S.-based consulting firm.

TAIWAN

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Pelosi was the highest-level member of the U.S. government to visit Taiwan in 25 years, and her visit came at a particularly sensitive time, as Chinese President Xi Jinping prepares to seek a third five-year term as leader of the ruling Communist Party later this year.

Under Xi, China has been increasingly forceful in declaring that Taiwan must be brought under its control — by force if necessary — and U.S. military officials have said that Beijing may seek a military solution within the next few years.

Tensions were already high, with China conducting regular military flights near Taiwan and the U.S. routinely sailing warships through the Taiwan Strait to emphasize they are international waters.

China accuses the U.S. of encouraging the island’s independence through the sale of weapons and engagement between U.S. politicians and the island’s government.

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Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Hua Chunying called Pelosi’s visit a “serious provocation” and accused Washington of breaking the status quo and “interfering in China’s internal affairs.”

“China is not the old China of 120 years ago, and we are not Iraq, Syria or Afghanistan — we will not allow any foreign force to bully, suppress or enslave us,” she told reporters in Beijing. “Whoever wants to do so will be on a collision course with the Great Wall of steel forged by the 1.4 billion Chinese people.”

The U.S. continues to insist it has not deviated from its “one-China” policy, recognizing the government in Beijing while allowing for informal relations and defense ties with Taipei.

China held off on its maneuvers until Pelosi had left Taiwan, and turned back its forces before they approached Taiwan’s coast or territorial airspace, which showed a “modicum of restraint,” Chen said. But, he noted, another congressional visit following Pelosi’s triggered the announcement of more exercises.

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“We are likely entering a period of regular military demonstrations in and around China’s maritime domain,” he said.

“The Chinese Communist Party is also quite capable in creating cross-domain responses, as has been seen in the cyber realm. Beyond that, we could see escalatory moves in space, in the South China Sea, Africa, the Indian Ocean, or the South Pacific.”

Taiwanese Foreign Minister Joseph Wu said the scale and coordination of the exercises suggested China was looking past Taiwan toward establishing dominance in the western Pacific. That would include controlling the East and South China Seas via the Taiwan Strait, and having the capability to impose a blockade to prevent the U.S. and its allies from coming to the aid of Taiwan in the event of an attack.

Short of an armed conflict, a blockade of the Taiwan Strait — a significant thoroughfare for global trade — could have major implications for international supply chains at a time when the world is already facing disruptions.

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In particular, Taiwan is a crucial provider of computer chips for the global economy.

Though ostensibly a reaction to Pelosi’s visit, it is clear China’s exercises had been long planned, said Mareike Ohlberg, a senior fellow in the Asia Program of the German Marshall Fund think tank.

“I do think they were looking for an opportunity to escalate,” she said. “This is not something you prep after the announcement (of the visit) and then pull off that quickly and that easily.”

The U.S. held back throughout the maneuvers, keeping an aircraft carrier group and two amphibious assault ships at sail in the region, but not close to the island. Taiwan avoided any active countermeasures.

Kurt Campbell, the Biden administration’s coordinator for Indo-Pacific affairs, said this week that the U.S. was taking a “calm and resolute” long-view approach that would include continued transits of the Taiwan Strait, supporting Taiwan’s self-defense capabilities, and otherwise deepening ties with the island.

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To that end, the U.S. announced Thursday that it was opening talks with Taiwan on a wide-ranging trade agreement.

Campbell said Washington sees China’s actions as “part of an intensified pressure campaign against Taiwan, which has not ended.”

“We expect it to continue to unfold in the coming weeks and months,” he said.

The U.S. Department of Defense has acknowledged China’s increasingly capable military, saying it has become a true rival and has already surpassed the American military in some areas, including shipbuilding, and now has the world’s largest navy.

The reserved American response to the recent exercises seemed calculated to avoid any accidental confrontation that could have escalated the situation, but could also feed China’s confidence, Ohlberg said.

“The base of China’s thinking is that the U.S. is in decline and that China is on the rise, and I guess the response would have been seen in Beijing as confirming that thinking,” she said.

The U.S. and China came perhaps the closest to blows in 1996, when China, irked by what it saw as increasing American support for Taiwan, fired missiles into the waters some 30 kilometers (20 miles) from Taiwan’s coast ahead of Taiwan’s first popular presidential election.

The U.S. responded with its own show of force, sending two aircraft carrier groups to the region. At the time, China had no aircraft carriers and little means to threaten the American ships, and it backed down.

China subsequently embarked on a massive modernization of its military and the recent exercises demonstrate a “quantum leap” of improvement from 1996, showing a joint command and control coordination not seen before, Chen said.

Before being confident enough to launch an actual invasion of Taiwan, however, the Chinese military still needs to do more to assure the country’s political leadership it would be successful, he said.

“These latest exercises are probably part of proving that capability, but more needs to be hammered out before they could be confident in conducting a full-scale Taiwan amphibious invasion,” he said. “They’ve only demonstrated the maritime blockade and air control parts of that campaign, without opposition.”

Following the visit, China released an updated “white paper” on Taiwan outlining how it envisioned an eventual annexation of the island would look.

It said it would follow the “one country, two systems” format applied in Hong Kong, which critics say has been undermined by a sweeping national security law that asserts Beijing’s control over speech and political participation. The concept has been thoroughly rejected in Taiwanese public opinion polls in which respondents have overwhelmingly favored their current de facto independence.

Tellingly, the new white paper discarded a pledge in its previous iteration not to send troops or government officials to an annexed Taiwan.

China has refused all contact with Taiwan’s government since shortly after the 2016 election of President Tsai Ing-wen of the pro-independence Democratic Progressive Party. Tsai was overwhelmingly reelected in 2020.

China’s bellicose response to Pelosi’s visit may have the unintended effect of strengthening the DPP in midterm elections later this year, said Huang Kwei-bo, vice dean of the College of International Affairs at Taiwan’s National Chengchi University.

Ideally, it would be in Taiwan’s best interest if both sides backed off and found “reasoned ways” to settle differences, he said.

“There’s an old saying that when two big elephants fight, the ant and the grass suffer,” he said.

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AP journalist Johnson Lai in Taipei, Taiwan, contributed to this story.

https://apnews.com/article/taiwan-china-beijing-congress-8857910a1e44cefa70bc4dfd184ef880

Chao Phraya River / Bangkok

Imposing river with open connection to the sea, sea ships can enter as far as Bangkok. Rivers bring their own atmosphere, as does this river that runs right through the city of millions and fulfills a major transpost function for persinen transport in Bangkok itself, the city that never sleeps. @annozijlstra

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chao_Phraya_River

  Tuk Tuk is amazing , unsave stincy funny . . .

try it, same as a boat ride in the canals

Actually it is more for tourists, long stayers never use them, they are too expensive , stinky hot , you better take a motorbike taxi or real taxi or BTS train, or subway.

But first time visitors love it , and that is o.k. too , only drivers are sheeters ( not all) often asking too much for a ride, offer 50% less and they take it 

TRIPS BY TRAIN IN THAILAND

TRIPS BY TRAIN IN THAILAND

HAROLDHUA HIN, KANCHANABURI, STATE RAILWAY OF THAILAND, TRAIN

It’s not fast, but it’s fun. Traveling by train in Thailand. The State Railway of Thailand (SRT) offers some fun train tours at very affordable prices.

The train is not exactly the fastest means of transport in Thailand. The cheapest airline tickets are hardly more expensive than the train on long distances and buses and minibuses are also considerably faster. But there is something nostalgic about trains. Gaze out the window and watch the landscape pass by.


Hua Hin and Suan Son Pradiphat

Hua Hin is a favorite destination for many Bangkokians. The picturesque train station of the Royal seaside resort alone is worth a visit. It dates from 1920 and contains a beautiful architecture. The train departs from Hua Lamphong in Bangkok at 6:30 AM and stops in Nakhon Pathom at around 7:40 AM. Travelers can visit Phra Pathhorn Chedi here, Thailand’s largest pagoda.

Trips by train in ThailandAfter forty minutes, the train leaves again, arriving in Hua Hin at 10:30 am. You can also choose to stay on board. In that case, the train continues to Suan Son Pradiphat, a base of the Royal Thai Army with a beach, hotel, golf course, seafood restaurants and even massage shops.

You can make this trip on Saturday, Sunday and during public holidays. The price varies whether you want a place in the air-conditioned train or not. Meals are not included in the price.

Suan Nongnooch in Pattaya

Fancy a day of viewing tropical gardens? That is also possible with the trips by train in Thailand of the SRT. The train to Pattaya leaves early from Hua Lamphong in Bangkok and stops in between in Makkasan, Klongton, Hua Mak, Hua Takae and Chachoensao before arriving in Pattaya. From the station in this seaside resort you will be taken to Nongnooch.

Here you will find botanical gardens and a landscaped waterfall. You can also sit down for the buffet during lunch in the Fuang Fa restaurant. In the afternoon you go to the Pattaya Floating Market for some shopping. The train leaves Pattaya at noon and arrives back in Bangkok early in the evening. This trip can be made on Saturday, Sunday and public holidays.
Erawan waterfall and Srinakarin dam

Another trip for the early birds. The train from Hua Lamphong and stops in Nakhon Pathor for forty minutes. Finally, you will arrive at the famous River Kwai bridge in Kanchanaburi. After looking around here for twenty minutes, you will continue on a bus to the falls. One is manpower constructed, the other is natural.

At the Srinakarin dam you will receive an explanation about how this structure was constructed. The Erawan waterfall is beautiful and you can even swim here. So make sure you have your swimsuit with you. Please note that as a foreigner you pay extra for access to the waterfall. You will be back in Bangkok around half past nine in the evening.

Trips by train in ThailandAmphawa Floating Market

A visit to Thailand is of course not complete without a floating market. Every Saturday, Sunday and public holiday you can take a day trip to Amphawa. The train leaves Wongwian Yai station early in the morning. The first stop is in Mahachai, famous for its large market. You take the ferry to Ban Laem, from where you take the train to Mae Klong.

This is the place with the famous train market. From the train you can see how the train drives right through the market and then arrives at Mae Klong station. From there you will go to the floating market.
Around dinner you will be transferred by minibus back to Bangkok, where you will arrive around 8:00 PM.

Visakha Bucha Day in Thailand

Aujourd’hui, c’est la Journée Visakha Bucha en Thaïlande.
C’est un jour férié, les magasins, les bars et les restaurants n’ont donc pas le droit de vendre de l’alcool pendant 24 heures de minuit à minuit.
Bonne journée du Grand Bouddha en Thaïlande
Voici la statue de marbre de 45 mètres de haut à Phuket pendant la pleine lune

Today is Visakha Bucha Day in Thailand.
It’s a public holiday so shops, bars and restaurants are barred from selling alcohol for 24 hours from midnight until midnight.
Happy Big Buddha day Thailand 🇹🇭
Here is the 45-tall-metre marble statue in Phuket during the full moon

Australian airline Qantas plans to offer the world’s longest commercial passenger flight . .

Australian airline Qantas plans to offer the world’s longest commercial passenger flight from Sydney to London from 2025.

The company will buy 12 aircraft from Airbus, Qantas has announced. Qantas also wants to fly from Sydney to New York. The flight from Sydney to London will take more than 19 hours and will be flown with the Airbus A350-1000, says Qantas. Each flight can accommodate 238 people.

Qantas CEO Alan Joyce says there will be spaces on the planes where people can move. “This project makes every city accessible with one flight from Australia.” Macarena The Australian airline company already did a trial with a flight to New York in October 2019, before the corona pandemic. It then lasted 19 hours and 16 minutes.

The company wanted to use this to see whether such a flight would be feasible at all and what the impact would be on people’s health. Movement, with a joint macarena, was to keep the blood circulation of people on board going. Qantas actually wanted to offer the ultra-long flights from next year, but the corona crisis threw a spanner in the works. Billions

There are already direct flights between Great Britain and Australia. Qantas already flies from London to Western Australian Perth, a flight that takes almost 17 hours.

The longest flight is currently operated by Singapore Airlines, which flies from Singapore to New York in just under 19 hours.

The deal with Airbus is probably worth many billions. In addition to the twelve Airbus A350-1000 aircraft, Qantas is also buying forty other aircraft from the European aircraft manufacturer. These are intended to renew the aging domestic fleet.

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Do not like that long flights, the sorter the better . AZ

BANGKOK: — Army chief Tuesday invoked the martial law to order all protesters to stay at their rally sites and not to move.

Army chief orders protesters not to move out of rally sites

  The order was the fourth order after declaration the martial law.

The order did not ban the rallies but it stated that the People’s Democratic Reform Committee must stay at Rajdamnoen Road while the United Front of Democracy against Dictatorship must stay rallying at the Utthayan Road.

— The Nation 2014-05-20

Suthep has to stay away from the streets of Bangkok now, happy with this 🙂